| Align to ADP | Close | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Selecting a
baseline
to use along with
PAVT or
RLV can be very confusing. Fantasy sites are filled with
discussions on the various methods used to establish a baseline. Some
are convinced that a certain approach is correct, so Draft Planner supports
the entry of any baseline; however,
there is no clear winner in the effort to define a baseline
that works for everyone. That is, until now! The whole point of the baseline is to level one position against another. It is obvious that a kicker should not be listed in the top 50 players of our cheat sheet because one would never waste such a high draft pick on a position that will be available with high quality much later in the draft. (Kickers are just an example. The same problem often arises with Tight Ends and Defenses). But kickers score a lot of fantasy points! They score so many points that if they are just valued based on their fantasy production, we would rank them with lower tier wide receivers. So, people use the baseline to reduce the final value of kickers in relation to the other positions. This helps, but it is often not possible to lower the kickers far enough down the cheat sheet. The baseline approach can only drop the top kicker to a value of zero, yet there are many players with negative values that should be taken before the first kicker. In response to this problem, owners start playing with the baselines of the other positions in an effort to drop the kickers further down the cheat sheet. The baselines quickly become ridiculous fudge factors with the sole purpose of making the cheat sheet look like what the drafter desires. Although it is often abused, the baseline is relevant as a leveling factor for your league roster requirements. It will effectively reduce or increase the value of positions that your league places a high value on because of the number that are started, drafted, etc. So, we're not going to throw out the baseline completely. What we need to do is further adjust the player values after the baselines have been applied. We need something to tell us where each position is typically being drafted to make sure our cheat sheet does not "reach" for players that could be available later. This is where ADP (Average Draft Position) becomes invaluable. The steps involved to align a PAVT or RLV cheat sheet with ADP is similar to the modification made by applying a baseline.
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| Conclusion | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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PAVT and RLV are great for assessing the value of players
under a particular league's scoring format. The problem is that most
of the fantasy world drafts by hype (RB Stud "Theory") and name recognition,
not by grabbing the players who are the most valuable to their league.
By using PAVT or RLV, you have an advantage because you know the true value
of each player, but you cannot simply draft off of this list because very
few others are drafting by this same concept of value (even if they claim to
use PAVT or RLV!). We must acknowledge that a player's value on draft
day is determined by where they are drafted. By aligning the cheat
sheet with ADP, we can keep an eye on the lemmings who scarf up positions at
certain points in the draft. Everyone should consider using the 'Align with ADP' feature now available in Draft Planner. It removes the guesswork from your baseline decisions as you may now stick with baseline numbers that make sense. The feature is selected by default, but is only invoked when creating a PAVT or RLV cheat sheet list for all players. A list showing only a single position does not use the 'Align with ADP' option because the relative values of the players remains the same without it. The calculations needed to align with ADP are also costly, and only run when a complete cheat sheet is being generated. |
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| Further Research | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sample Draft Planner reports are provided below to further illustrate the affect of aligning with ADP. The report on the left is for a point-per-reception league using PAVT. It is not aligned with ADP. The report on the right is for the same league, but it is aligned with ADP. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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